Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Arminia Bielefeld		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.45	Watch
	7.75	5.25	1.36	Watch
	6.25	4.25	1.52
	6	4.4	1.5
	6.73	4.51	1.53
	6.5	4.33	1.5
	6.5	4.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↓ (7.26)	4.58 ↓ (4.88)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
14.5%

Draw
20.9%

Borussia Dortmund
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

19.5%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

16.8%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (21.85%), has project points - 29, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (36.54%), has project points - 65, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (77%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Arminia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borussia D is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
17.10.21	Augsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
25.09.21	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTL
- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
19.10.21	Ajax - Borussia Dortmund	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Mainz	3:1 ✺
02.10.21	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.09.21	Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.09.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.02.21	Borussia Dortmund - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0
31.10.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund	0:2

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