Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.98
	3.7	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.77	4	2.01
	3.62	4.02	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.84	3.95	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.76)	3.83 ↓ (3.87)	1.97 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
26.2%

Draw
25%

Borussia Dortmund
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.4%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

23.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14%	4%	82%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.35% – 92.65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 6. Engelhardt Y. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 7. Stoger K. 36. Mohya W. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Kobel G. (G) 49. Reggiani L. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 7. Bellingham J. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 40. Inacio S. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
38. Bolin H. 4. Diks K. 25. Hack R. 18. Machino S. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 14. Takai K. 26. Ullrich L.	41. Albert M. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F. 24. Svensson D.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Stoger K. 🟨,
56', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
61', Beier M. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
66', Mohya W. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
70', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Diks K. ↑,
70', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
76', Bellingham J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
76', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
84', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
84', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
87', Elvedi N. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),
90+1', Tabakovic H. 🟨,
90+1', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
90+1', Reitz R. ↓, Hack R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 23:50. (average 1.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 8.73% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	7	13
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
25.04.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Osnabrück - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTT
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
26.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
19.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2
07.12.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
13.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
25.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:2
13.05.23	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:2
11.11.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	4:2

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