Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	ESPN Premium
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Sport 1
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:45	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV5
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app
Usa	12:45	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+


	Borussia Dortmund		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.9	4
				Watch
	1.81	4.12	4.38
				Watch
	1.8	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	4.19 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
53%

Draw
24.1%

Sporting Lisbon
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.3%	15.7%	12%

Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 59 - 72.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 63.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 24. Svensson D. 20. Sabitzer M. 13. Gross P. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 43. Gittens J. 9. Guirassy S.	24. Silva R. (G) 72. Quaresma E. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 47. Esgaio R. 52. Simoes J. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 2. Matheus Reis 30. Biel 19. Harder C. 57. Quenda G.
Substitutes
3. Anton W. 14. Beier M. 5. Bensebaini R. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 35. Lotka M. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 7. Reyna G. 25. Sule N.	67. Anjos L. 20. Araujo M. 50. Brito A. 6. Debast Z. 41. Diego Callai (G) 73. Felicissimo E. 22. Fresneda I. 1. Israel F. (G) 88. Mendonca M. 90. Moreira A. 86. Nel R. 55. Silva J.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Simoes J. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hjulmand M. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
46', Gittens J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
56', Biel ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
56', Inacio G. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
59', Guirassy S. (Pen),
69', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
69', Brandt J. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
74', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
84', Quenda G. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
89', Sabitzer M. ↓, Anton W. ↑,
89', Adeyemi K. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Sporting have a series of home games.

In this match Borussia D is a favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) St. Juste J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Mane F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
15.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.02.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Farense	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Sporting Lisbon - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
24.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	3:1
28.09.21	Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon	1:0
02.11.16	Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon	1:0
18.10.16	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	1:2

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