Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)


	Ascoli		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	1.85	3.10	3.85	Watch
	2.15	2.99	4.01
	1.98	2.95	4.1	Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.60
	2.14	2.89	3.93	Watch
	4.5	1.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (4.38)	2.76 ↑ (1.58)	3.88 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
40.3%

Draw
34.9%

Brescia
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

57.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

63.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brescia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ascoli - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 80. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	66. Gori S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. (C) 28. Silvestri L. 3. Rizzo A. 82. Armati L. 20. Zennaro M. 14. Mallamo A. 18. De Maria V. 93. Marras M. 27. Lamesta A. 99. Crespi V.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 28. Palazzino F. 5. Rama A. 33. Rizzo N. 60. Zagari R.	24. Boci B. 30. Cantamessa S. 97. Cazzadori D. 11. Cisco A. 22. Damioli M. (G) 21. Fogliata R. 44. Guglielmotti D. 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 42. Moretti L. 5. Pasini N. 4. Sorensen F. 32. Spagnoli A. 45. Valente M. 9. Vido L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
21', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
25', De Maria V. 🟨,
35', Balestrero D. 🟨,
40', Gori G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Silipo A. ⚽,
55', De Maria V. ↓, Boci B. ↑,
55', Silipo A. 🟨,
55', Zennaro M. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
61', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
61', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
69', Nicoletti M. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
69', Balestrero D. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
69', Lamesta A. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
75', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
75', Corradini G. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
83', Marras M. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
88', Milanese T. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In recent matches, Ascoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brescia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ascoli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
03.06.26	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Catania - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Ascoli - Catania	4:0 ✺
20.05.26	Ascoli - Potenza	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Potenza - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWT
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
03.06.26	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Brescia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Salernitana - Brescia	1:1 ✺
20.05.26	Brescia - Casarano	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.06.26	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1

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