Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Athletico Paranaense		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.33	5	9
	1.35	4.9	9.5
	1.32	5.33	11.02
	1.29	4.4	8.5
	1.32	5.15	9.4	Watch
	1.32	4.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.28)	4.94 ↓ (5.31)	9.29 ↓ (10.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
70.9%

Draw
19%

Alianza Lima
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

17.6%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Athletico Paranaense - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bento (G) 3. Ze Ivaldo 44. Thiago Heleno (C) 34. Pedro Henrique 88. Christian 5. Fernandinho 26. Erick 2. Khellven 14. Canobbio A. 9. Vitor Roque 8. Vitor Bueno	1. Campos A. (G) 3. Vilchez Y. 6. Miguez P. 2. Garcia S. 13. Lagos R. 21. Ballon J. (C) 16. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 11. Reyna B. 9. Barcos H. 22. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 32. Arriagada L. 28. Cuello 10. David Terans 17. Hugo Moura 4. Kaique Rocha 18. Leo Cittadini 23. Leo Linck (G) 22. Madson 7. Marcelo Cirino 42. Matheus Felipe 41. Mycael (G)	4. Amasifuen N. 28. Chavez E. 10. Cueva C. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 29. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 19. Sabbag P. 32. Saravia F. (G) 27. Valenzuela O. 35. Velasquez J. 5. Zambrano C. 23. Zanelatto F.
Coaches
Paulo Turra	Salas G.

Preview

Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alianza Lima have a series of home games.

In this match Athletico PR is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
24.06.23	Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
21.06.23	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	Athletico Paranaense - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	Athletico Paranaense - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWW
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
23.06.23	Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.06.23	ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Alianza Lima - Athletico Paranaense	0:0

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