Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Athletico Paranaense		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.72	3.6	5.2
	1.73	3.55	4.7
	1.72	3.74	5.48
	1.7	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.66	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.09)	3.56 ↑ (3.17)	5.08 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
55.1%

Draw
26.4%

Estudiantes La Plata
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	18.2%	13.6%

Athletico Paranaense - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 54.4% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Athletico PR is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
31.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.07.22	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.07.22	Botafogo RJ - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
20.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	4:1 ✺
16.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLWT
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Banfield	0:0 ✺
24.07.22	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1 ✺
20.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:1 ✺
17.07.22	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.07.22	Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL

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