The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 57.2%
Draw 26.6%
Sport Recife 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
28.2%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
18.2%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.6%
14.3%
16.1%
Athletico Paranaense - Sport Recife Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 39 - 69.6%). Recife will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 57.6% – 81.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Athletico PR has the most likely position - 8 (8.65%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sport Recife has the most likely position - 19 (25.62%), has project points - 38, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Athletico PR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Athletico PR have a series of home games.
In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.
Watch
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