Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Athletico Paranaense		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	6	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.25
	1.57	3.65	5.4	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.6
	1.55	4.11	6.14
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.57	4	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	3.84 ↑ (3.68)	5.72 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
59.4%

Draw
24.3%

LDU Quito
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

15.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletico Paranaense - LDU Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Athletico PR has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches LDU Quito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Athletico PR have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.21	Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	LDU Quito - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.08.21	Athletico Paranaense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.08.21	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.08.21	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.08.21	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	LDU Quito - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.08.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
02.08.21	LDU Quito - Olmedo	4:0 ✺
25.07.21	9 de Octubre - LDU Quito	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.21	LDU Quito - Athletico Paranaense	1:0

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