Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Munuera Montero J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	ESPN 2
China	CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 1, M+ LaLiga 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Atlético Madrid		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	10	Watch
	1.34	4.8	10
	1.33	5	11	Watch
	1.33	5.17	11.27
	1.34	5.02	10.92
	1.33	4.8	11
	1.36	5.2	11.1	Watch
	1.33	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	4.97 ↑ (4.8)	10.79 ↑ (9.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
71.8%

Draw
19.3%

Leganés
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

19.9%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.6%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	5.7%	1.9%

Atlético Madrid - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (95 of 103 users predict this - 92.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.06% – 97.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 20. Witsel A. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 17. Riquelme R. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 7. Griezmann A. 10. Correa A. 9. Sorloth A.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 20. Hernandez J. 17. Neyou Y. 5. Tapia R. 8. Cisse S. 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 10. Raba D.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez J. 5. de Paul R. 4. Gallagher C. 2. Gimenez J. M. 31. Gomis A. (G) 11. Lemar T. 12. Lino S. 23. Mandava R. 1. Musso J. (G) 22. Simeone G.	2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 15. Franquesa E. 19. Garcia D. 18. Haller S. 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 4. Porozo J. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Simeone D.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Lenglet C. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Neyou Y. ⚽, Raba D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Molina N. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
57', Riquelme R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
57', Koke ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
57', Correa A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
64', Lenglet C. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,
68', Cruz J. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
68', Raba D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Sorloth A. ⚽, Witsel A. (A),
73', Galan J. 🟨,
77', de la Fuente M. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
80', Cisse S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
83', Cisse S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
83', Hernandez J. ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
89', Griezmann A. 🟨,
90+2', Simeone G. 🟨,
90+8', de Paul R. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 1, Sorloth A. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury) Llorente M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Garcia N. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 1.1:0.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 1.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Benfica - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWT
- CD Leganés
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.10.24	Leganés - Valencia	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Leganés	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Getafe - Leganés	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Leganés - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
26.01.20	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	0:0
25.08.19	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	0:1
09.03.19	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	1:0
03.11.18	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	1:1
28.02.18	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	4:0
30.09.17	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	0:0
Club Friendly
12.08.17	Leganés - Atlético Madrid	0:1

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