Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	16:00	ESPN
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 1, C+ France, Free
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar 2, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Atlético Madrid		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.49	4.33	6.75
	1.46	4.55	7.5	Watch
	1.49	4.59	7.59
	1.46	4.53	7.62
	1.53	4.2	6.5
	1.53	4.51	6.96
	1.5	4.45	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	4.49 ↑ (4.36)	7.03 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
64.8%

Draw
21.5%

Lille
13.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.1%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	12.2%	6.8%

Atlético Madrid - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (58 of 72 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.42% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 20. Witsel A. 2. Gimenez J. M. 21. Galan J. 5. de Paul R. 6. Koke (C) 4. Gallagher C. 19. Alvarez J. 9. Sorloth A. 7. Griezmann A.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 36. Toure O. 2. Mandi A. 4. Alexsandro 12. Meunier T. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 5. Gudmundsson G. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 27. Bayo M. 10. Cabella R.
Substitutes
10. Correa A. 28. Gismera A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 27. Kostis I. 11. Lemar T. 12. Lino S. 23. Mandava R. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 22. Simeone G.	16. Caillard M. (G) 37. Costarelli M. 9. David J. 18. Diakite B. 8. Gomes A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 11. Sahraoui O. 23. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽,
16', Cabella R. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
17', Galan J. 🟨,
44', Toure O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Toure O. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Zhegrova E. ⚽, Meunier T. (A),
65', Bayo M. ↓, David J. ↑,
65', Sorloth A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
74', Simeone D. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, David J. (Pen),
77', Molina N. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
77', Gallagher C. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
77', Galan J. ↓, Mandava R. ↑,
78', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
78', Meunier T. 🟨,
87', Mukau N. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
88', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
89', Witsel A. 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, David J. ⚽, Gudmundsson G. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Atlético is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury) Lenglet C. (Ankle Injury) Llorente M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Bakker M. (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Illness) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
20.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Benfica - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.24	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
26.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLTW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Lille - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Lille - Real Madrid	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3 ✺
21.09.24	Lille - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWWT

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