The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 59.3%
Draw 24.5%
Fortaleza 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
26.2%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
25.5%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
4.5%
18.2%
Atlético Mineiro - Fortaleza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Fortaleza (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2.75 - Atlético MG (7.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 25 - 89.3%). Fortaleza (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 16. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 13. Guilherme Arana (C) 5. Alexsander 11. Bernard 17. Igor Gomes 92. Dudu 500. Hulk 33. Rony
12. Brenno (G) 14. Mancuso E. 34. Gazal 3. Avila G. 6. Bruno Pacheco 30. Pierre 88. Lucas Sasha (C) 91. Lucas Crispim 26. Breno Lopes 18. Deyverson 80. Herrera J.
Substitutes
77. Biel 42. Cadu 38. Caio Paulista 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 10. Gustavo Scarpa 48. Mateus Iseppe 2. Natanael 20. Patrick Silva 18. Reinier 31. Robert (G)
19. Allanzinho 16. Diogo Barbosa 28. Guilherme C. d. S. 10. Guzman Y. 23. Leite H. (G) 9. Lucero J. 20. Matheus Rossetto 96. Moises 70. Pablo Roberto 7. Pochettino T. 2. Tinga 22. Yago Pikachu
Coaches
Dea G.
Alves R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hulk ⚽, Rony (A),
32', Dudu 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Bernard (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 2 - 1, Deyverson ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
61', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
65', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
67', 3 - 2, Deyverson (Pen),
68', Rony ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
72', Herrera J. ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
72', Lucas Crispim ↓, Moises ↑,
76', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
78', Alexsander ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
85', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
86', Bernard ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
86', Dudu ↓, Natanael ↑,
86', Pierre ↓, Guzman Y. ↑,
86', Breno Lopes ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Deyverson ⚽, Mancuso E. (A),
90+6', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Inactive)
Fausto Vera
(Inactive)
Gabriel Menino
(Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
Lyanco
(Yellow Cards)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Rubens
(Inactive)
There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Inactive)
Bruninho
(Inactive)
Bruno Pacheco
(Tendon Injury)
David Luiz
(Thigh Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Mancha
(Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
Marinho
(Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Everson (G) 
Renzo Saravia 
Guzman Y. 
Alves R. 
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