Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Morelos (Morelia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Atlético Morelia		Venados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	4.05	4.55	Watch
	1.65	4.09	4.88
	1.65	4.05	4.73	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4.4
	1.61	3.84	4.61	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	3.96 ↑ (3.83)	4.61 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Morelia
56.8%

Draw
23.2%

Venados
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

23.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Atlético Morelia - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 14. Dominguez M. 11. Figueroa B. 16. Garcia U. 3. Hernandez S. 8. Martinez J. 26. Martinez J. 10. Munoz Z. 20. Palma A. 24. Vazquez B. (C) 4. Zamora D.	27. Ramirez S. (G) 18. Amador K. 7. Calero J. 2. Casillas J. (C) 10. Dominguez A. 4. Grijalva A. 5. Lanchi 29. Lora S. 17. Martinez J. 11. Tejeda D. 8. Torres D.
Substitutes
150. Conejo J. 9. del Campo R. 23. Esqueda D. 32. Moreno G. 17. Nambo M. 29. Ochoa Brandon 30. Sandoval L. 1. Torres A. (G) 31. Vivas J. F.	19. Ballesteros O. 20. Cruz J. 28. Delgado A. (G) 9. Derbez L. 23. Galvan P. 3. Levin J. 21. Lopez C. 15. Navarrete D. 34. Saucedo S. 30. Torres Sauri M.
Coaches
Ortiz M.	Garcia I. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Hernandez S. (A),
33', Munoz Z. 🟨,
41', Casillas J. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Lanchi 🟨,
53', Hernandez S. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
54', Munoz Z. ↓, del Campo R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Grijalva A. ⚽,
68', Martinez J. 🟨,
70', Martinez J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
71', Lanchi ↓, Navarrete D. ↑,
78', Dominguez M. ↓, Ochoa Brandon ↑,
78', Figueroa B. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, del Campo R. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
83', Tejeda D. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
88', Nambo M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.

Venados has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Venados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Morelia	11	7	1	3	21:12	9	22
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.02.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Cancún	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWT
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.02.26	Venados - Cancún	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Atlético La Paz - Venados	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Venados - Dorados	4:4 ✺
16.01.26	Tapatío - Venados	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.09.25	Venados - Atlético Morelia	2:2
02.03.25	Atlético Morelia - Venados	1:0
13.09.24	Venados - Atlético Morelia	2:1
28.03.24	Atlético Morelia - Venados	3:4
09.11.23	Atlético Morelia - Venados	2:1 penalties
19.10.23	Venados - Atlético Morelia	2:1
26.01.23	Atlético Morelia - Venados	1:0

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