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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 55.4%
Draw 25.6%
Deportes Tolima 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
22.3%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.4%
21.9%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 4. Haydar C. 20. Casco M. 22. Cabrera E. 21. Campuzano J. 99. Poveda I. 10. Cardona E. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 23. Rodriguez J.
1. Neto Volpi (G) 33. Mosquera J. 80. Rovira B. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 32. Guzman S. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 8. Valencia E. 10. Sanchez L. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 15. Aguayo S.
Substitutes
32. Benitez E. 26. Marin F. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 30. Parra Atehortua K. 19. Rengifo J. 31. Rios X. 8. Uribe M. 33. Velasquez S. 80. Zapata J.
28. Lopez E. 5. Mera J. 13. Ortega M. (G) 24. Parra Osorio A. 16. Reyes V. 29. Sanchez N. 9. Sandoval L. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Suarez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
46', Sanchez L. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
54', Rovira B. 🟨,
59', Casco M. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
59', Cardona E. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
66', Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
70', Campuzano J. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
74', Aguayo S. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
87', Guzman S. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
87', Valencia E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
87', Poveda I. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
90+1', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
In recent outings, Atlético Nacional has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportes Tolima has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Deportes Tolima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético Nacional for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Nacional has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 20:13 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
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Armani F. (G) 
Roman A. 
Neto Volpi (G) 
Aguayo S. 
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