Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	09:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.95
	1.98	3.95	3.45	Watch
	2.02	4.1	3.59
	2.02	4.04	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.4	Watch
	2.03	4	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.59)	3.39 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
47.2%

Draw
24.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Borussia M will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 6. Gouweleeuw J. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 27. Wolf M. 17. Jakic K. 32. Rieder F. 13. Giannoulis D. 30. Kade A. 36. Komur M. 38. Gregoritsch M.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 4. Diks K. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 7. Stoger K. 6. Engelhardt Y. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 18. Machino S.
Substitutes
40. Banks N. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 19. Fellhauer R. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 4. Massengo H. 39. Ogundu U. 21. Ribeiro R. 31. Schlotterbeck K.	38. Bolin H. 25. Hack R. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 8. Sarco A. 21. Sippel T. (G) 14. Takai K. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Baum M.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Giannoulis D. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Fellhauer R. ⚽, Komur M. (A),
45+4', Scally J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Honorat F. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
56', Wolf M. 🟨,
58', Mohya W. ↓, Hack R. ↑,
58', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
58', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
61', Sander P. 🟨,
61', Jakic K. 🟨,
62', Wolf M. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
62', Jakic K. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽,
79', Komur M. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
79', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
87', Machino S. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Reyna G. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.

Augsburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Red Card) Elvedi N. (Yellow Cards) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9
18	B. Monchengladbach	7	1	0	6	11:22	-11	3

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29% B. Monchengladbach: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTWTT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
03.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0
22.02.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	0:3
04.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
21.01.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	1:2
19.08.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:4
27.05.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	2:0
25.01.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0

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