What is the expert prediction for Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

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Augsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, May 09, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.95
	1.98	3.95	3.45	Watch
	2.02	4.1	3.59
	2.02	4.04	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.4	Watch
	2.03	4	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.59)	3.39 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
47.2%

Draw
24.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg's performance.

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Borussia M will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 5. Matsima C. 6. Gouweleeuw J. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 27. Wolf M. 17. Jakic K. 32. Rieder F. 13. Giannoulis D. 30. Kade A. 36. Komur M. 38. Gregoritsch M.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 4. Diks K. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 7. Stoger K. 6. Engelhardt Y. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 18. Machino S.
Substitutes
40. Banks N. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 19. Fellhauer R. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 4. Massengo H. 39. Ogundu U. 21. Ribeiro R. 31. Schlotterbeck K.	38. Bolin H. 25. Hack R. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 8. Sarco A. 21. Sippel T. (G) 14. Takai K. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Baum M.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Giannoulis D. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Fellhauer R. ⚽, Komur M. (A),
45+4', Scally J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Honorat F. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
56', Wolf M. 🟨,
58', Mohya W. ↓, Hack R. ↑,
58', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
58', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
61', Sander P. 🟨,
61', Jakic K. 🟨,
62', Wolf M. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
62', Jakic K. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Gregoritsch M. ⚽,
79', Komur M. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
79', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
87', Machino S. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Reyna G. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.

Augsburg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Red Card) Elvedi N. (Yellow Cards) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

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Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.37% B. Monchengladbach: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
17	B. Monchengladbach	2	0	0	2	3:7	-4	0

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.48%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Augsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTWTT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
03.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0
22.02.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	0:3
04.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
21.01.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	1:2
19.08.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:4
27.05.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	2:0
25.01.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0

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