Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 6
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 3
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Hamburger SV		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.98	Watch
	2.44	3.48	3.05
	2.39	3.48	2.93	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.41	3.58	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
39.8%

Draw
27.7%

Augsburg
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	48%	20%

Hamburger SV - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Augsburg will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hamburg (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hamburg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hamburg (3.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Augsburg (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Augsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 17. Omari W. 44. Vuskovic L. 25. Torunarigha J. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Lokonga A. S. 20. Vieira F. 28. Muheim M. (C) 11. Konigsdorffer R. 27. Otele P. 9. Glatzel R.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 27. Wolf M. 19. Fellhauer R. 32. Rieder F. 13. Giannoulis D. 30. Kade A. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 38. Gregoritsch M.
Substitutes
45. Balde F. 19. Downs D. 8. Elfadli D. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 23. Gronbaek A. 43. Nandja S. 14. Philippe R. 49. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G)	40. Banks N. 11. Gharbi I. 6. Gouweleeuw J. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 4. Massengo H. 39. Ogundu U. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 21. Ribeiro R.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Arthur Chaves ⚽,
41', Otele P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Otele P. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
55', Torunarigha J. 🟨,
59', Rieder F. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Glatzel R. (A),
64', Muheim M. 🟥,
67', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
67', Glatzel R. ↓, Gronbaek A. ↑,
80', Kade A. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
80', Fellhauer R. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
81', Zesiger C. 🟨,
86', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
90', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
90+4', Philippe R. ↓, Stange O. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.

Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Hamburg: Capaldo N. (Abdominal strain) Dompe J. (Foot Injury) Jatta B. (Hamstring Injury) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Remberg N. (Yellow Cards) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Augsburg: Keitel Y. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Hamburger SV - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
22.03.26	Augsburg - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	RB Leipzig - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Augsburg - Köln	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	2:2
German Bundesliga
13.01.18	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0
19.08.17	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
30.04.17	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	4:0
10.12.16	Hamburger SV - Augsburg	1:0
14.05.16	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:3

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