Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Metz		Nantes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.97	3.31	2.57
	2.91	3.26	2.48	Watch
	3	3.1	2.3
	3.25	3.41	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
31.3%

Draw
29%

Nantes
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.6%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	33.3%	29.6%

Metz - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 18.8% – 55.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Metz (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Metz (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 2. Colin M. 5. Gbamin J. 20. Deminguet J. 70. Sarr B. 10. Hein G. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)	1. Lopes A. (C) 24. Guilbert F. 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 13. Coquelin F. 18. Centonze F. 21. Kaba M. 8. Lepenant J. 10. Abline M. 37. Ganago I.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 3. Diop M. 1. Fischer J. (G) 11. Kvilitaia G. 34. Mbala N. 19. Michal L. 33. Munongo B. 15. Yegbe T.	2. Ali Youssef 98. Amian K. 20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 19. El Arabi Y. 11. Guirassy B. 27. Machado D. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 28. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Halilhodzic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Sarr B. 🟨,
39', Tati T. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ganago I. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
46', Centonze F. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
63', Coquelin F. 🟨,
63', Colin M. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
63', Mboula U. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
72', Munongo B. 🟨,
73', Abline M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
80', Sarr B. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
84', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
87', Deminguet J. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
90+2', Kaba M. ↓, Amian K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3.

Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nantes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Guerti I. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Nantes: Tabibou D. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Kvilitaia G. (Illness) Mbala N. (Illness) Sy P. (Elbow Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Nantes: Deuff B. (Foot Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Metz - Toulouse	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Metz - Brest	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Angers	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Monaco - Nantes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2
03.03.24	Nantes - Metz	0:2
12.11.23	Metz - Nantes	3:1
27.02.22	Metz - Nantes	0:0
15.08.21	Nantes - Metz	2:0
24.01.21	Metz - Nantes	2:0
22.11.20	Nantes - Metz	1:1

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