Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.29	3.4	3.5
	2.2	3.2	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.24	3.08	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.35 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mantova
42.3%

Draw
29.7%

Avellino
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Mantova - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.36) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bardi F. (G) 3. Dembele A. 27. Castellini A. 29. Cella S. 96. Maggioni T. 10. Wieser D. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 19. Ruocco F. 9. Mancuso L. (C)	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 4. Izzo A. 63. Fontanarosa A. 6. Palmiero L. 20. Palumbo M. 24. Sounas D. 14. Biasci T. 9. Patierno C. (C) 10. Russo R.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 77. Buso N. 28. Caprini M. 5. Chrysopoulos K. 18. Falletti C. 33. Marai C. 23. Marras T. 36. Paoletti F. 17. Radaelli N. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 98. Zuccon F.	21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 30. Daffara G. (G) 56. Enrici P. 99. Favilli A. 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 2. Missori F. 8. Pandolfi L. 3. Sala M. 7. Tutino G.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Ballardini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Biasci T. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
46', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
57', Ruocco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
57', Maggioni T. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Missori F. ⚽, Palmiero L. (A),
68', Patierno C. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
75', Russo R. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
76', Palumbo M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
76', Castellini A. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
81', Wieser D. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Favilli A. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
90+3', Dembele A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

Mantova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Avellino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mantova might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N. (Ankle Injury) Chrysopoulos K. (Inactive) Meroni A. (Inactive) Muci N. (Inactive) Trimboli S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Avellino: Daffara G. (Inactive) Marson L. (Inactive) Reale F. (Muscle Injury) Sgarbi L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mantova: Mensah D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
12.04.26	Spezia - Mantova	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Mantova - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Modena - Mantova	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Empoli - Mantova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Avellino - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Palermo - Avellino	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Virtus Entella - Avellino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0

Upcoming Matches