Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.77
	2.56	3.21	2.76	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.63
	2.71	3.18	2.71	Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.57)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.66 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
35.4%

Draw
29.9%

Catanzaro
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Avellino - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 56. Enrici P. 3. Sala M. 16. Kumi J. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 24. Sounas D. 20. Palumbo M. 14. Biasci T. 10. Russo R.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 4. Matias Antonini 6. Fellipe Jack 27. Favasuli C. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Petriccione J. 94. Di Francesco F. 14. Liberali M. 32. Rispoli F. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 11. D'Andrea L. 99. Favilli A. 63. Fontanarosa A. 94. Insigne R. 27. Le Borgne A. 2. Missori F. 8. Pandolfi L. 9. Patierno C. 53. Sassi J. (G) 7. Tutino G.	81. Ardizzone S. 5. Bashi E. 99. Borrelli E. (G) 98. Buglio D. 2. Esteves G. 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 28. Oudin R. 21. Pompetti M. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Ballardini D.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Petriccione J. 🟨,
10', Russo R. 🟨,
29', Sounas D. 🟨,
31', Petriccione J. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
40', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kumi J. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
56', Brighenti N. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
63', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
63', Palumbo M. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
64', Cancellotti T. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
66', Pontisso S. 🟨,
72', Di Francesco F. 🟨,
75', Brighenti N. 🟨,
76', Favilli A. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
79', Di Francesco F. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
79', Liberali M. ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
79', Sounas D. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
86', Fellipe Jack ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Iannarilli A. ⚽, Insigne R. (A),
90+6', Iannarilli A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Red Card) Marson L. (Inactive) Reale F. (Muscle Injury) Sgarbi L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Alesi G. (Red Card) Cassandro T. (Yellow Cards) Cisse A. (Muscle Injury) Pittarello F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Avellino: Palmiero L. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Avellino - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
05.04.26	Palermo - Avellino	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Virtus Entella - Avellino	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Avellino - Padova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cesena - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Catanzaro - Empoli	3:2 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Catanzaro - Avellino	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
04.03.23	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
30.10.22	Avellino - Catanzaro	2:2
06.02.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	2:0
30.09.21	Avellino - Catanzaro	0:0
03.03.21	Catanzaro - Avellino	0:1

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