Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.75
	2.04	3.47	3.91
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.99	3.36	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.12)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	3.83 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
47.2%

Draw
28.3%

Omiya Ardija
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

19.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omiya Ardija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Avispa Fukuoka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
25.11.20	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
25.11.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
15.11.20	Omiya Ardija - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
11.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
06.11.19	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	3:0
02.06.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	1:1
29.09.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	3:1
25.03.18	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1
Japan J1 League
06.08.16	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
04.05.16	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	1:2

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