Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Sampaio W. P. (Bra)


	Bahia		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	6
	1.6	3.35	6.1
	1.57	3.55	6
	1.6	3.64	7.32
	1.57	3.64	6.3
	1.58	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	3.55 ↑ (3.43)	6.29 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
59%

Draw
26.2%

Guarani
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

31.3%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	10.5%	21.1%

Bahia - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).

Recent matches Bahia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarani is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bahia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Bahia - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Grêmio - Bahia	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Bahia - Brusque	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Bahia	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Chapecoense - Bahia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWTL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.22	Cruzeiro - Guarani	0:1 ✺
11.10.22	Guarani - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Ituano - Guarani	2:1 ✺
03.10.22	Guarani - Londrina	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Guarani - Bahia	0:2

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