Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.12	3.25	3.35
	2.17	3.31	3.74
	2.13	3.32	3.52
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.15	3.37	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	3.22 ↓ (3.22)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
44.1%

Draw
29.3%

Universidad Católica
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 8. Celiz M. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 7. Gomez J. 9. Benedetto D. 21. Villalba H.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 7. Giani J. 8. Zuqui F. 15. Cuevas C. 11. Montes C. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 70. Mejia M. 5. Montano C. 11. Parrales M. 15. Perlaza J. 25. Perlaza R. 27. Vargas W. 51. Wila J.	13. Canales A. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 14. Martinez J. A. 17. Medel G. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J. 12. Valdes F. (G)
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Montes C. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
36', Villalba H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez J. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
46', Lugo M. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
46', Villalba H. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
56', Montes C. 🟨,
63', Rangel A. 🟨,
65', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Perlaza R. ↑,
66', Montes C. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
67', Zampedri F. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
75', Benedetto D. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
77', Mena E. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
77', Zuqui F. ↓, Medel G. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Celiz M. ⚽, Martinez T. (A),
81', Celiz M. 🟨,
90+4', Giani J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barcelona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Barcelona: Rojas J. (Injury)

There will not play in Uni Católica: Asta-Buruaga T. (Inactive) Medel G. (Inactive) Sekgota J. (Inactive) Valencia D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Gomez J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Uni Católica: L’Huillier N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

U. Catolica: 0.99%

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.04.26	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLW
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
20.04.26	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Cruzeiro - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	3:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Universidad Católica - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.20	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0
13.09.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	1:0
04.08.19	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1
10.03.19	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	1:2
11.11.18	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2
18.08.18	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	2:0
15.07.18	Universidad Católica - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3

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