Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Barnsley		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	4.1	3.4	1.93
	4.5	3.3	1.95
	4.1	3.5	1.85
	4.41	3.43	1.96
	4.2	3.3	1.88
	4.15	3.58	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.5)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
22.5%

Draw
27.6%

Middlesbrough
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.2%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

23%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesbrough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barnsley - Middlesbrough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 7).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 23 (29.65%), has project points - 36, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 4 (14.37%), has project points - 74, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (53%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, importance 34, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 3.

Recent matches Barnsley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Middlesbrough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Barnsley have a series of guest games.

In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
22.02.22	Hull City - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Coventry City - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Barnsley - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.02.22	Luton Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLL
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
22.02.22	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Middlesbrough - Derby County	4:1 ✺
09.02.22	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.02.22	Manchester United - Middlesbrough	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.10.21	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	2:0
10.04.21	Barnsley - Middlesbrough	2:0
03.10.20	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	2:1
English League Cup
15.09.20	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	0:2
English League Championship
22.02.20	Barnsley - Middlesbrough	1:0
27.11.19	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	1:0
10.03.18	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	3:1

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