Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Coventry City		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5
	1.55	4	6.25
	1.55	4.1	6.5
	1.52	3.95	6.2
	1.57	4.04	6.77
	1.53	3.8	6.5
	1.57	4.1	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4 ↓ (4.07)	6.44 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
61.4%

Draw
23.8%

Barnsley
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

19.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Coventry City - Barnsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Coventry has the most likely position - 11 (9.02%), has project points - 66, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 24 (28.35%), has project points - 35, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 27, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coventry won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Coventry have a series of guest games.

In this match Coventry is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Coventry won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
15.02.22	Cardiff City - Coventry City	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Reading - Coventry City	2:3 ✺
08.02.22	Coventry City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Southampton - Coventry City	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
29.01.22	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLL
- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
12.02.22	Barnsley - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.02.22	Luton Town - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
02.02.22	Barnsley - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	Barnsley - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.08.21	Barnsley - Coventry City	1:0
18.04.21	Coventry City - Barnsley	2:0
26.09.20	Barnsley - Coventry City	0:0
English League One
30.03.19	Barnsley - Coventry City	2:2
15.09.18	Coventry City - Barnsley	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.17	Barnsley - Coventry City	3:1
English League One
01.03.16	Barnsley - Coventry City	2:0

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