The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 29.6%
Draw 27.8%
Preston North End 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
30%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
30.6%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preston North End's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Preston North End, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
15.8%
52.6%
Barnsley - Preston North End Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Preston will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 30.1% – 75.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 16).
Barnsley is Relegated to League One
Barnsley has the most likely position - 24 (75.77%), has project points - 32, has currently - 30, was already of relegated.
Preston has the most likely position - 16 (72.27%), has project points - 61, has currently - 58, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality36, very small importance0, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1.
Barnsley has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Preston is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barnsley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Preston have a series of home games.
Preston will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Watch
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