The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 57.8%
Draw 24.9%
Barnsley 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
28.9%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
28.8%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.8%
1.9%
11.3%
Swansea City - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Swansea City will win
(46 of 53 users predict this - 86.79%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.67% – 95.91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Swansea has the most likely position - 13 (14.16%), has project points - 65, has currently - 57, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Barnsley has the most likely position - 22 (46.43%), has project points - 36, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has quality36, small importance18, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 4.
Swansea in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Barnsley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swansea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Swansea is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Swansea to win the game is with odds 1.65.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Swansea won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
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