Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Fulham		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.39	5	7.25
	1.36	5.2	9
	1.39	5	6.8
	1.39	5.14	8.57
	1.36	4.8	8
	1.39	5.25	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.61)	5.06 ↑ (3.7)	7.85 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
69%

Draw
18.9%

Preston North End
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.2%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fulham's performance.

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	3.4%	11.2%

Fulham - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: Fulham will win (76 of 89 users predict this - 85.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.05% – 92.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).

Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (93.47%), has project points - 92, has currently - 83, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (93%).

Preston has the most likely position - 15 (19.78%), has project points - 63, has currently - 58, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 53, small importance 24, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fulham won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Fulham have a series of guest games.

In this match Fulham is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fulham won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fulham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English League Championship
15.04.22	Derby County - Fulham	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Fulham - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
06.04.22	Middlesbrough - Fulham	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Queens Park Rangers - Fulham	0:2 ✺
15.03.22	West Bromwich Albion - Fulham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Preston North End
English League Championship
15.04.22	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Preston North End - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Derby County - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Luton Town - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.11.21	Preston North End - Fulham	1:1
29.02.20	Fulham - Preston North End	2:0
10.12.19	Preston North End - Fulham	2:1
10.03.18	Preston North End - Fulham	1:2
14.10.17	Fulham - Preston North End	2:2
04.03.17	Fulham - Preston North End	3:1
13.08.16	Preston North End - Fulham	1:2

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