Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Barrow		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.75
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.6	3.35	2.65
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.61	3.26	2.83
	2.75	3.25	2.55
	2.57	3.32	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.98)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.7 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
36.2%

Draw
28.9%

Lincoln City
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lincoln City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	31.6%	21.1%

Barrow - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Lincoln will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3.

Barrow is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lincoln have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
20.08.22	Barrow - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Barrow - Walsall	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Sutton United - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Blackpool - Barrow	0:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
06.08.22	Barrow - Bradford City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLWW
- Lincoln City
English League One
20.08.22	Peterborough United - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
16.08.22	Oxford United - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Doncaster Rovers - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.01.17	Barrow - Lincoln City	3:0
17.09.16	Lincoln City - Barrow	1:2
19.12.15	Lincoln City - Barrow	2:2
15.09.15	Barrow - Lincoln City	1:0
23.02.13	Lincoln City - Barrow	0:0
10.11.12	Barrow - Lincoln City	1:2

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