Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	SRF


	Basel		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.31	5	8
	1.3	5.1	9.25
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.33	4.82	8.43
	1.32	5.25	8.9	Watch
	1.34	5.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.25)	5.01 ↓ (5.5)	8.34 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
70.3%

Draw
18.6%

Tobol Kostanay
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.9%

16.8%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Basel - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tobol will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salvi M. (G) 5. Lang M. 4. Comas A. 25. van Breemen F. 33. Calafiori R. 23. Burger W. 20. Frei F. (C) 31. Schmid D. 27. Ndoye D. 9. Barry T. 30. Kade A.	23. Konovalov I. (G) 24. Kairov B. 4. Rogac I. 30. Mladjovic B. 3. Asrankulov R. 14. Zharynbetov S. (C) 6. Ilic J. 20. Orazov R. 11. Chesnokov I. 8. Deble S. 21. Vukadinovic M.
Substitutes
10. Augustin J. 16. De Mol N. (G) 24. Djiga N. 18. Essiam E. 17. Hunziker A. 38. Kayombo A. 22. Lopez S. 29. Onyegbule A. 43. Pfeiffer T. (G) 28. Vogel H. 34. Xhaka T. 39. Ze A.	12. Busurmanov S. (G) 15. Gabaraev A. 51. Galym B. 18. Kireenko P. 19. Mrkaic M. 5. Semchenkov D. 13. Zabelin P. 17. Zhakupov T. 7. Zhumashev Z.
Coaches
Schultz T.	Curcic M.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Basel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tobol in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basel is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Basel - Benfica	1:3 ✺
08.07.23	Vaduz - Basel	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Basel - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
29.05.23	Basel - Grasshoppers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
23.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Honka - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.07.23	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWW

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