Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Angola	Z Sport 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Bayer Leverkusen		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.09	11	19	Watch
	1.09	12.5	21
	1.09	12	29	Watch
	1.1	12	30.14
	1.11	10.89	26.42	Watch
	1.07	12	26	Watch
	1.1	14.2	27	Watch
	1.1	11.5	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)	12.01 ↑ (11.16)	24.95 ↑ (23.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
88.1%

Draw
8%

Holstein Kiel
3.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.3%

8.6%

4.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 79.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (C) 4. Tah J. 8. Andrich R. 12. Tapsoba E. 30. Frimpong J. 34. Xhaka G. 25. Palacios E. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 10. Wirtz F. 22. Boniface V.	1. Weiner T. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 4. Erras P. 14. Geschwill M. 17. Becker T. 24. Knudsen M. 8. Porath F. 10. Holtby L. (C) 37. Gigovic A. 18. Machino S. 7. Skrzybski S.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 44. Belocian J. 24. Garcia A. 3. Hincapie P. 17. Kovar M. (G) 23. Mukiele N. 14. Schick P. 19. Tella N. 11. Terrier M.	20. Arp J.-F. 11. Bernhardsson A. 21. Dahne T. (G) 3. Komenda M. 9. Pichler B. 27. Puchacz T. 22. Remberg N. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Schulz M.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Boniface V. ⚽, Palacios E. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Hofmann J. ⚽, Palacios E. (A),
45+5', 2 - 1, Geschwill M. ⚽, Holtby L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
46', Skrzybski S. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
60', Knudsen M. 🟨,
60', Hofmann J. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
68', Frimpong J. 🟨,
69', 2 - 2, Arp J.-F. (Pen),
70', Andrich R. ↓, Hincapie P. ↑,
70', Palacios E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
70', Boniface V. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
71', Gigovic A. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
77', Frimpong J. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
86', Porath F. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
86', Holtby L. ↓, Remberg N. ↑,
90+2', Weiner T. 🟨,
90+6', Tah J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Bayer in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Holstein Kiel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Head Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Johansson C. (Concussion)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Milan	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	4:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Feyenoord - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.09.24	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW
- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
29.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Bayern Munich	1:6 ✺
31.08.24	Holstein Kiel - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

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