The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 45.2%
Draw 26.1%
Porto 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
27.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
28.5%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.7%
20.9%
16.4%
Bayer Leverkusen - Porto Predictions
Users Predictions:
110 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 69 - 62.7%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 16.4%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 20.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 53.7% โ 71.7%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Bayer has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a chance of round of 16 (31%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Porto has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (33%), has a chance of round of 16 (33%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has big quality77, very big importance100, big match rating88. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Bayer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Porto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bayer will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Bayer: Andrich R.
(Yellow Cards)
Azmoun S.
(Calf Injury)
Bellarabi K.
(Knee Injury)
Frimpong J.
(Red Card)
Palacios E.
(Muscle Injury)
Wirtz F.
(Convalescence)
There will not play in Porto: Manafa W.
(Injury)
Pepe
(Knee Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bayer won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
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