The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 67.3%
Draw 18.9%
Schalke 04 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
21.2%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
21.2%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayer Leverkusen's performance.
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.2%
17.2%
15.6%
Bayer Leverkusen - Schalke 04 Predictions
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 43 - 67.2%). Schalke will win (votes: 10 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 55.7% โ 78.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
Bayer has the most likely position - 11 (7.96%), has project points - 45, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (21.82%), has project points - 32, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality65, importance34, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 3.
Recent matches Bayer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Schalke is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayer is certain favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Azmoun S.
(Calf Injury)
Bellarabi K.
(Knee Injury)
Palacios E.
(Muscle Injury)
Wirtz F.
(Convalescence)
There will not play in Schalke: Cisse I.
(Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Calf Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Schalke: Brunner C.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.
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