The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Schalke 04 23.6%
Draw 25.8%
Bayer Leverkusen 50.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24%
25.8%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
25.4%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Schalke 04 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.2%
16.7%
54.2%
Schalke 04 - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Bayer will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 34.3% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 8).
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (29.28%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (56%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
Bayer has the most likely position - 8 (24.06%), project points - 51, currently - 37, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality68, importance42, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
Schalke is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bayer is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Bayer is a favorite.
There will not play in Schalke: Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Muscle Injury)
Karaman K.
(Muscle Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Latza D.
(Muscle Injury)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Skarke T.
(Leg Injury)
Uronen J.
(Groin Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Bayer: Amiri N.
(Muscle Injury)
Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
Schick P.
(Groin Injury)
Last 21 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.
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