Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid, Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Bayer Leverkusen		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.4	Watch
	1.52	4.42	6.53
	1.53	4.53	6.4	Watch
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.54	4.41	6.43	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	4.31 ↓ (4.53)	6.3 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
62.7%

Draw
22.1%

St. Pauli
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	7.1%	1.8%

Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Bayer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayer (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (51 of 54 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.33% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 17 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 24. Garcia A. 25. Palacios E. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 15. Ando T. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 6. Sands J. 7. Irvine J. (C) 11. Pyrka A. 10. Sinani D. 20. Rasmussen M. 19. Kaars M.
Substitutes
13. Arthur 5. Bade L. 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M.	38. Aigbekaen R. 9. Ceesay A. 16. Fujita J. 18. Hara T. 23. Oppie L. 21. Ritzka L. 34. Robatsch J. 14. Stevens F. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Quansah J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Schick P. ⚽, Lucas (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Tapsoba E. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
59', Lucas ↓, Arthur ↑,
59', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
69', Irvine J. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
69', Sands J. ↓, Fujita J. ↑,
72', Grimaldo A. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
80', Palacios E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
83', Kaars M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
83', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
90+2', Mets K. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Bayer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

St. Pauli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bayer is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tella N. (Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Jones R.J. (Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury) Pereira Lage M. (Muscle Injury) Smith E. (Heel Injury) Wahl H. (Injury)

We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	7	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 4.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayer Leverkusen - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.53%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWW
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Augsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	St. Pauli - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
03.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	3:0
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
20.04.25	St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1
07.12.24	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	2:1
Club Friendly
04.09.14	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	2:2

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