Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	6.25	Watch
	1.41	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.41	5.6	6.86
	1.4	5.54	6.47	Watch
	1.4	5	6	Watch
	1.43	5.63	6.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	5.37 ↑ (4.54)	6.48 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
67.6%

Draw
17.7%

Wolfsburg
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

20.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	10.2%	6.1%

Stuttgart - Wolfsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Wolfsburg (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 14. Jaquez L. 3. Hendriks R. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 10. Fuhrich C. 11. El Khannouss B. 26. Undav D. 9. Demirovic E.	1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 4. Koulierakis K. 15. Jenz M. 6. Belocian J. 24. Eriksen C. 31. Gerhardt Y. (C) 11. Daghim A. 10. Majer L. 37. Hensel P. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 25. Jeremy Arevalo 7. Mittelstadt M. 28. Nartey N. 8. Tomas T.	18. Adjetey J. 41. Burger J. 19. Lindstrom J. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 7. Shiogai K. 3. Vavro D. 5. Vini Souza 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Bauer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', Bauer D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Undav D. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Leweling J. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
42', 3 - 0, Leweling J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Majer L. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
46', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
46', Daghim A. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,
62', Hensel P. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
68', Jaquez L. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
77', Undav D. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
77', Leweling J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
85', Belocian J. ↓, Zehnter A. ↑,
88', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
88', Fuhrich C. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
88', El Khannouss B. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
90+5', 4 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽, Tomas T. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.

Recent performances by Stuttgart have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Groin Injury) Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Lindstrom J. (Illness) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Injury) Svanberg M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8:9	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Stuttgart - Celtic	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:3
15.02.25	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	1:2
28.09.24	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	2:2
02.03.24	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	2:3
07.10.23	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	3:1
18.03.23	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	0:1
01.10.22	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	3:2

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