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Stuttgart - Wolfsburg

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
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    Stuttgart Wolfsburg
    Stuttgart Wolfsburg
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.54)    		 5.37 ↑
    (4.54)    		 6.48 ↑
    (5.25)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Stuttgart
    67.6%    		Draw
    17.7%    		Wolfsburg
    14.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    61.3% 20.8% 18%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    62.4% 20.2% 17.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    83.7% 10.2% 6.1%

    Stuttgart - Wolfsburg Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Stuttgart (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Wolfsburg (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% โ€“ 95.29%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    33. GermanyNubel A. (G)
    29. GermanyJeltsch F.
    14. SwitzerlandJaquez L.
      3. NetherlandsHendriks R.
    18. GermanyLeweling J.
    16. TurkeyKarazor A. (C)
      6. GermanyStiller A.
    10. GermanyFuhrich C.
    11. MoroccoEl Khannouss B.
    26. GermanyUndav D.
      9. BosniaDemirovic E.
    		  1. PolandGrabara K. (G)
    26. FranceKumbedi S.
      4. GreeceKoulierakis K.
    15. GermanyJenz M.
      6. FranceBelocian J.
    24. DenmarkEriksen C.
    31. GermanyGerhardt Y. (C)
    11. DenmarkDaghim A.
    10. CroatiaMajer L.
    37. GermanyHensel P.
      9. AlgeriaAmoura M.
    Substitutes
      2. BelgiumAl Dakhil A.
    30. SpainAndres C.
    22. FranceAssignon L.
    27. AlgeriaBouanani B.
      1. GermanyBredlow F. (G)
    25. EcuadorJeremy Arevalo
      7. GermanyMittelstadt M.
    28. DenmarkNartey N.
      8. PortugalTomas T.
    		18. GhanaAdjetey J.
    41. GermanyBurger J.
    19. DenmarkLindstrom J.
    29. GermanyMuller M. (G)
    17. GermanyPejcinovic D.
      7. JapanShiogai K.
      3. SlovakiaVavro D.
      5. BrazilVini Souza
    25. GermanyZehnter A.
    Coaches
         GermanyHoeness S.
    		     GermanyBauer D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (3 - 0)
    • 19', Bauer D. 🟨,
    • 21', 1 - 0, Undav D. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),
    • 30', 2 - 0, Leweling J. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
    • 42', 3 - 0, Leweling J. ⚽,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Majer L. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
    • 46', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
    • 46', Daghim A. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,
    • 62', Hensel P. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
    • 68', Jaquez L. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
    • 77', Undav D. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
    • 77', Leweling J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
    • 85', Belocian J. ↓, Zehnter A. ↑,
    • 88', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
    • 88', Fuhrich C. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
    • 88', El Khannouss B. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
    • 90+5', 4 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽, Tomas T. (A),

    Preview

  • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.
  • Recent performances by Stuttgart have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 0).
  • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Stuttgart is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)
  • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Groin Injury) Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Lindstrom J. (Illness) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Injury) Svanberg M. (Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    10Stuttgart830514:15-19

    Last Results with these Odds

    Stuttgart - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfB Stuttgart
    UEFA Europa League
    26.02.26 Stuttgart - Celtic 0:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    22.02.26 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    19.02.26 Celtic - Stuttgart 1:4 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    14.02.26 Stuttgart - Kรถln 3:1 ✺
    07.02.26 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6
    LTWWL
    - VfL Wolfsburg
    German Bundesliga
    21.02.26 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2:3 ✺
    15.02.26 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    07.02.26 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    30.01.26 Kรถln - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    24.01.26 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8
    LTLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    18.10.25 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3
    15.02.25 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 1:2
    28.09.24 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 2:2
    02.03.24 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 2:3
    07.10.23 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 3:1
    18.03.23 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 0:1
    01.10.22 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 3:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfB Stuttgart
    German Bundesliga
    07.11.26 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    03.11.26 Galatasaray - Stuttgart ✺
    German Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart ✺
    - VfL Wolfsburg
    German 2 Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Wolfsburg - Osnabrรผck ✺

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