What is the expert prediction for Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

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Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4, Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Heidenheim		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.55	Watch
	4.75	4.4	1.61
	5.4	4.7	1.55	Watch
	5.83	4.8	1.54
	5.3	4.66	1.59	Watch
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.18	4.66	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↓ (5.24)	4.56 ↑ (4.43)	1.57 (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
18.3%

Draw
20.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.4%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

20.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	10.9%	78.2%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (43 of 54 users predict this - 79.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.89% – 90.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 26. Behrens H. 20. Kerber L. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 8. Dinkci E. 11. Zivzivadze B. 10. Conteh C.	1. Flekken M. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 20. Grimaldo A. 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 30. Maza I. 10. Tillman M. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 17. Honsak M. 16. Niehues J. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S. 23. Traore O. H.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 16. Tape A. 23. Tella N. 11. Terrier M.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Tillman M. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
25', Schoppner J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
39', Schick P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Poku E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
46', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
46', Gimber B. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
54', Terrier M. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Behrens H. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
64', Kerber L. 🟨,
65', Conteh C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
65', Kerber L. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Pieringer M. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Garcia A. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
82', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
83', Tillman M. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
83', Maza I. 🟨,
84', Dorsch N. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Pieringer M. ⚽, Beck A. (A),
87', Andrich R. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
89', Quansah J. 🟨,
90', Beck A. 🟨,
90+7', Busch M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.

Heidenheim is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tapsoba E. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
04.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	6:0
05.04.25	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
23.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	5:2
17.02.24	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
24.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	4:1
German DFB Pokal
05.02.19	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1

Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide