Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	18:30	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bolivia	10:30	ESPN 5
Brazil	11:30	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	ESPN Premium
Colombia	09:30	ESPN 5
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 6
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	09:30	ESPN 5
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 4, Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Paraguay	11:30	ESPN 5
Peru	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Heidenheim		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.55	Watch
	4.75	4.4	1.61
	5.4	4.7	1.55	Watch
	5.83	4.8	1.54
	5.3	4.66	1.59	Watch
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.18	4.66	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↓ (5.24)	4.56 ↑ (4.43)	1.57 (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
18.3%

Draw
20.9%

Bayer Leverkusen
60.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.4%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

20.5%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	10.9%	78.2%

Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (43 of 54 users predict this - 79.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.89% – 90.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 26. Behrens H. 20. Kerber L. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 8. Dinkci E. 11. Zivzivadze B. 10. Conteh C.	1. Flekken M. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 20. Grimaldo A. 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 30. Maza I. 10. Tillman M. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 17. Honsak M. 16. Niehues J. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S. 23. Traore O. H.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 16. Tape A. 23. Tella N. 11. Terrier M.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Tillman M. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
25', Schoppner J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
39', Schick P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Poku E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
46', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
46', Gimber B. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
54', Terrier M. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Behrens H. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
64', Kerber L. 🟨,
65', Conteh C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
65', Kerber L. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Pieringer M. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Garcia A. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
82', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
83', Tillman M. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
83', Maza I. 🟨,
84', Dorsch N. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Pieringer M. ⚽, Beck A. (A),
87', Andrich R. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
89', Quansah J. 🟨,
90', Beck A. 🟨,
90+7', Busch M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.

Heidenheim is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tapsoba E. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	4	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
04.03.26	Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	6:0
05.04.25	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
23.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	5:2
17.02.24	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
24.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Heidenheim	4:1
German DFB Pokal
05.02.19	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1

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