Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bayern Munich		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	1.22	7.5	9	Watch
	1.23	6.9	11.5	Watch
	1.25	7.5	10.75
	1.25	7.5	10.12	Watch
	1.25	6	8.5	Watch
	1.27	7.31	10.9	Watch
	1.27	6.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.27)	7.03 ↑ (6.58)	9.97 ↑ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
76.8%

Draw
13.6%

Hoffenheim
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

14.4%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 31 - 72.1%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 8 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.7% – 85.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Bayern (2.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (7.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 19. Davies A. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 7. Gnabry S. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 25. Akpoguma K. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 29. Toure B. 27. Kramaric A. 7. Avdullahu L. 6. Promel G. 22. Prass A. 11. Asllani F.
Substitutes
20. Bischof T. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 42. Karl L. 27. Laimer K. 10. Musiala J. 40. Urbig J. (G)	9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 48. Djuric L. 45. Frees K. 15. Gendrey V. 49. Lassig V. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G)
Coaches
Kompany V.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', Prass A. 🟨,
13', Olise M. 🟨,
17', Akpoguma K. 🟥,
20', 1 - 0, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 1 - 1, Kramaric A. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
44', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 3 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Tah J. 🟨,
62', 4 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
63', Olise M. ↓, Karl L. ↑,
63', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
63', Tah J. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
66', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
68', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
71', Kramaric A. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
71', Toure B. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
80', Davies A. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
81', Avdullahu L. ↓, Djuric L. ↑,
81', Prass A. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
89', 5 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 4.

Bayern is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hoffenheim is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Burger W. (Red Card) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Laimer K. (Calf Injury) Neuer M. (Stomach Disorder)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Lemperle T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 54:24. (average 2.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:10. (average 3.1:1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 80.24% Hoffenheim: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	16:4	12	11
17	Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9:13	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.42%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Bayern Munich - Saint-Gilloise	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.09.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4
17.05.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4
15.01.25	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:0
18.05.24	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	4:2
12.01.24	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	3:0
15.04.23	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	1:1
22.10.22	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	0:2

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