Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Emirates Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Fiji	08:00	Sky Pacific
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, RTK 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Moldova	22:00	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2, RTS 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360


	Arsenal		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.7
	2.05	3.65	3.65
	2.02	3.69	3.82
	2.11	3.64	3.30	Watch
	2.06	3.78	3.57
	1.96	3.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.11)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)	3.63 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
47.5%

Draw
26.1%

Bayern Munich
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.5%	17.5%	25%

Arsenal - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 46 - 58.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 20 - 25.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 47.3% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Arsenal (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Bayern (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Tie (votes: 11 - 31.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 3. Mosquera C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. (C) 23. Merino M. 19. Trossard L.	1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 44. Stanisic J. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 7. Gnabry S. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 33. Calafiori R. 5. Hincapie P. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 35. Setford T. (G) 4. White B.	20. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 36. Mike W. 26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Arteta M.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Timber J. ⚽, Saka B. (A),
23', Upamecano D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Karl L. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
38', Trossard L. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
43', Laimer K. 🟨,
43', Arteta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Kompany V. 🟨,
68', Saka B. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
68', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Madueke N. ⚽, Calafiori R. (A),
72', Laimer K. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
72', Gnabry S. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
74', Saliba W. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Martinelli G. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
80', Merino M. 🟨,
80', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
80', Eze E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
81', Kimmich J. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
81', Karl L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
81', Upamecano D. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arsenal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Gyökeres V. (Hamstring Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Diaz L. (Red Card) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.06%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
23.11.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
17.04.24	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	1:0
09.04.24	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	2:2
International Champions Cup
17.07.19	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	2:1
19.07.17	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	1:2 penalties
UEFA Champions League
07.03.17	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	1:5
15.02.17	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	5:1
04.11.15	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	5:1

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