Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Liverpool		Watford

	1	X	2
	1.16	8	15
	1.16	7.5	21
	1.17	8.5	20
	1.15	7.6	16
	1.17	8.5	18
	1.15	7.5	17
	1.19	8	17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.12)	7.94 ↓ (9.29)	17.71 ↓ (22.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
82.5%

Draw
12.1%

Watford
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.4%

10.3%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Liverpool - Watford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Liverpool has the most likely position - 2 (58.2%), has project points - 89, has currently - 69, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a chance of win league (38%).

Watford has the most likely position - 19 (52.03%), has project points - 30, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has big quality 72, big importance 74, big match rating 73. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 0.

Liverpool is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Watford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liverpool is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English FA Cup
20.03.22	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
16.03.22	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
12.03.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.03.22	Liverpool - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
05.03.22	Liverpool - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Watford FC
English Premier League
13.03.22	Southampton - Watford	1:2 ✺
10.03.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Watford	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Watford - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
26.02.22	Manchester United - Watford	0:0 ✺
23.02.22	Watford - Crystal Palace	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.10.21	Watford - Liverpool	0:5
29.02.20	Watford - Liverpool	3:0
14.12.19	Liverpool - Watford	2:0
27.02.19	Liverpool - Watford	5:0
24.11.18	Watford - Liverpool	0:3
17.03.18	Liverpool - Watford	5:0
12.08.17	Watford - Liverpool	3:3

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