Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 20

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Sunderland		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33
	1.88	3.5	4.2
	1.87	3.53	4.24
	1.87	3.56	4.52
	1.87	3.52	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.88	3.55	4.23	Watch
	1.87	3.53	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	4.29 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
50.8%

Draw
27.1%

Bristol City
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.9%	4.8%

Sunderland - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 5. Ballard D. 42. Alese A. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 12. Mayenda E. 11. Rigg C. 40. Watson T. 18. Isidor W.	1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 15. McNally L. 3. Pring C. 29. McGuane M. 12. Knight J. (C) 7. Hirakawa Y. 6. Bird M. 11. Mehmeti A. 30. Armstrong S.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 22. Aouchiche A. 3. Cirkin D. 24. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 10. Roberts P. 15. Rusyn N.	5. Atkinson R. 23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 27. Cornick H. 40. Earthy G. 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 24. Roberts H. 21. Wells N.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Manning L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Watson T. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
37', Vyner Z. 🟨,
44', McNally L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bird M. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
46', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
60', Armstrong S. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, McNally L. ⚽,
63', Alese A. ↓, Cirkin D. ↑,
67', Rigg C. 🟨,
78', Rigg C. ↓, Aouchiche A. ↑,
78', Isidor W. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
82', Mehmeti A. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
83', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
84', Pring C. 🟨,
86', Roberts P. 🟨,
90+2', Knight J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Leg Injury) Abdullahi A. (Groin Injury) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) McCrorie R. (Muscle Injury) Sykes M. (Muscle Injury) Tanner G. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
07.12.24	Sunderland - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
29.11.24	Sheffield United - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Millwall - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Sunderland - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTT
- Bristol City
English League Championship
07.12.24	Portsmouth - Bristol City	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
26.11.24	Watford - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Bristol City - Burnley	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.04.24	Sunderland - Bristol City	0:0
16.12.23	Bristol City - Sunderland	1:0
18.02.23	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:1
06.08.22	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:3
10.02.18	Bristol City - Sunderland	3:3
28.10.17	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:2

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