Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Boca Juniors		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.45	4.5
	1.87	3.45	4.4
	1.8	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.89	3.42	4.13	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	4.26 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
50.4%

Draw
27.6%

Fortaleza
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero S. (G) 17. Advincula L. 2. Lema C. 4. Figal J. 23. Blanco L. 8. Fernandez G. 36. Medina C. 21. Fernandez I. 22. Zenon K. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Cavani E.	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 19. Britez E. 4. Titi (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 22. Yago Pikachu 35. Hercules 28. Pedro Augusto 6. Bruno Pacheco 7. Pochettino T. 39. Machuca I. 9. Lucero J.
Substitutes
9. Benedetto D. 45. Benitez M. 12. Brey L. (G) 43. Delgado M. 40. Di Lollo L. 18. Fabra F. 11. Janson L. 14. Langoni L. 34. Mendia M. 3. Saracchi M. 47. Saralegui J. 39. Taborda V.	77. Andrade K. 25. Cardona T. 20. Dudu 8. Emmanuel Martinez 37. Kauan 11. Marinho 16. Matheus Rossetto 21. Moises 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Santos (G) 2. Tinga 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Martinez D.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Advincula L. 🟨,
29', Cavani E. 🟨,
35', Martinez D. 🟨,
39', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
45', Titi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Figal J. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
46', Britez E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Cavani E. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
60', Hercules ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
60', Yago Pikachu ↓, Marinho ↑,
61', Machuca I. ↓, Moises ↑,
70', Fernandez G. 🟨,
75', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
75', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,
76', Pedro Augusto ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
82', Medina C. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
86', Fernandez G. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Andrade K. ⚽, Moises (A),
90+4', Fernandez I. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boca Juniors have a series of guest games.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Atlético Tucumán - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Fortaleza - Boca Juniors	4:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.24	Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.24	Corinthians - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Fortaleza - Boca Juniors	4:2
Colombian Primera B
12.10.20	Fortaleza - Boca Juniors	1:0
02.09.19	Boca Juniors - Fortaleza	0:1

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