Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Max, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bologna		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4.75
	1.75	3.9	4.4	Watch
	1.76	3.95	4.91
	1.76	3.88	4.94
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.74	3.74	4.95	Watch
	1.76	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.85 ↑ (3.81)	4.77 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
55.1%

Draw
24.9%

Frosinone
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

24.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.5%	19.1%	6.4%

Bologna - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 35 - 74.5%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 6.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 62% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Skorupski L. (G) 29. De Silvestri L. (C) 31. Beukema S. 33. Calafiori R. 22. Lykogiannis C. 8. Freuler R. 20. Aebischer M. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. 56. Saelemaekers A. 9. Zirkzee J.	80. Turati S. (G) 22. Oyono A. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. 3. Marchizza R. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 45. Barrenechea E. 18. Soule M. 12. Reinier 16. Garritano L. 70. Cheddira W.
Substitutes
14. Bonifazi K. 16. Corazza T. 17. El Azzouzi O. 80. Fabbian G. 50. Gasperini T. (G) 10. Karlsson J. 15. Kristiansen V. 6. Moro N. 11. Ndoye D. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K. 77. van Hooijdonk S.	7. Baez J. 26. Bidaoui S. 24. Bourabia M. 4. Brescianini M. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 27. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 20. Lirola P. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M. 30. Monterisi I.
Coaches
Motta T.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bologna won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bologna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Lucumi J. (Injury) Posch S. (Muscle Injury) Soumaoro A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Harroui A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bologna: Kristiansen V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Gelli F. (Injury) Kaio Jorge (Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bologna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
07.10.23	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Bologna - Empoli	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Monza - Bologna	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Bologna - Napoli	0:0 ✺
18.09.23	Verona - Bologna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTTT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.10.23	Frosinone - Verona	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Roma - Frosinone	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.01.19	Bologna - Frosinone	0:4
26.08.18	Frosinone - Bologna	0:0
03.02.16	Frosinone - Bologna	1:0
20.09.15	Bologna - Frosinone	1:0
Italian Serie B
02.05.15	Frosinone - Bologna	2:1
13.12.14	Bologna - Frosinone	2:2

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