Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 7

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Roma		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.8	8
	1.39	4.9	7.8	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.41	5.07	8.1
	1.35	4.75	9
	1.39	4.95	8.1	Watch
	1.4	5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.9 ↑ (4.36)	7.98 ↑ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
68.6%

Draw
19.4%

Frosinone
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	4.3%	4.3%

Roma - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patricio R. (G) 23. Mancini G. 4. Cristante B. 5. Ndicka E. 2. Karsdorp R. 52. Bove E. 16. Paredes L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 37. Spinazzola L. 21. Dybala P. 90. Lukaku R.	80. Turati S. (G) 30. Monterisi I. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Okoli C. 22. Oyono A. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 45. Barrenechea E. 3. Marchizza R. 18. Soule M. 7. Baez J. 11. Cuni M.
Substitutes
22. Aouar H. 17. Azmoun S. 11. Belotti A. 63. Boer P. (G) 19. Celik Z. 67. Costa J. 92. El Shaarawy S. 43. Kristensen R. 60. Pagano R. 61. Pisilli N. 99. Svilar M. (G) 59. Zalewski N.	26. Bidaoui S. 24. Bourabia M. 4. Brescianini M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 70. Cheddira W. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M. 12. Reinier
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

Recent matches Roma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frosinone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is certain favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Abraham T. (Knee Injury) Kumbulla M. (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Harroui A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Llorente D. (Injury) Smalling C. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Gelli F. (Injury) Kaio Jorge (Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury) Lirola P. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
28.09.23	Genoa - Roma	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Torino - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Roma - Empoli	7:0 ✺
01.09.23	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
28.09.23	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
02.09.23	Udinese - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Frosinone - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.09.20	Frosinone - Roma	1:4
Italian Serie A
23.02.19	Frosinone - Roma	2:3
26.09.18	Roma - Frosinone	4:0
30.01.16	Roma - Frosinone	3:1
12.09.15	Frosinone - Roma	0:2

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