Match Info

Date: 2 April 2021, Friday


	Bolton Wanderers		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.63	3.9	5.5
	1.55	3.85	5.6
	1.63	3.98	5.88
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.66	3.94	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	5.68 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
58.9%

Draw
24.4%

Colchester United
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

20.1%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Bolton Wanderers - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.25% – 90.65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to League Two (Play Offs) and 21).

Bolton has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Colchester has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Bolton in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colchester is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bolton to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Two
27.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Bolton Wanderers - Walsall	2:1 ✺
13.03.21	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
09.03.21	Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWT
- Colchester United
English League Two
27.03.21	Colchester United - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
23.03.21	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
20.03.21	Colchester United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
16.03.21	Salford City - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.09.20	Colchester United - Bolton Wanderers	2:0

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