Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Bolton Wanderers		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	10	6	1.25
	10.5	5.75	1.26
	8.5	5.5	1.31
	9.8	5.8	1.26
	10.83	6.09	1.27
	7.5	4.33	1.44
	10.75	6	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.7 ↑ (8.02)	5.64 ↑ (5.04)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
9.8%

Draw
16.8%

Aston Villa
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.6%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

16.4%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aston Villa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bolton have a series of home games.

Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.

In this match Aston Villa is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Bolton: Isgrove L. (Injury) Sheehan J. (Injury) Toal E. (Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Diego Carlos (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Hause K. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
20.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
16.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Salford City	5:1 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
20.08.22	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Aston Villa - Everton	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Rennes - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	Manchester United - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.04.19	Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa	0:2
02.11.18	Aston Villa - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
17.03.18	Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:0
30.09.17	Aston Villa - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
English Premier League
24.04.12	Aston Villa - Bolton Wanderers	1:2

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