Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 32

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: University of Bolton Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.75
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.8	5.55
	1.65	3.68	6.25
	1.6	3.7	5.8
	1.59	3.85	5.9	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	3.73 ↑ (3.5)	5.74 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
58.3%

Draw
25.3%

Milton Keynes Dons
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	10.5%	26.3%

Bolton Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 20).

Bolton has the most likely position - 5 (22%), has project points - 84, has currently - 56, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (76%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (13.1%), has project points - 48, has currently - 29, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 35, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.

Bolton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches MK Dons is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bolton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bolton to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
11.02.23	Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers	0:5 ✺
04.02.23	Bolton Wanderers - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Charlton Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Derby County - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
11.02.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
24.01.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.09.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
26.02.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	2:0
07.08.21	Bolton Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3
22.02.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
16.11.19	Bolton Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
04.02.17	Milton Keynes Dons - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
10.09.16	Bolton Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1

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