What is the expert prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 07, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.25	4.45	Watch
	1.7	4.45	4.57
	1.66	4.51	4.45	Watch
	1.62	4	4.6
	1.7	4.58	4.83	Watch
	1.68	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	4.37 ↓ (4.58)	4.53 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
57.1%

Draw
21.8%

Hoffenheim
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.5%	27.5%	15%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45% – 76%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Borussia D (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Borussia D (1.21) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 28. Anselmino A. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 2. Couto Y. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Baumann O. (G) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 11. Asllani F. 19. Lemperle T. 29. Toure B.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 7. Bellingham J. 5. Bensebaini R. 23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 21. Silva F.	9. Bebou I. 15. Gendrey V. 23. Hlozek A. 5. Kabak O. 27. Kramaric A. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 17. Tohumcu U.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Schlotterbeck N. ⚽, Nmecha F. (A),
62', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
65', Bernardo 🟨,
68', Hajdari A. 🟨,
73', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
73', Promel G. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
80', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
80', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
80', Burger W. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
80', Toure B. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
90', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
90+3', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.

Borussia D has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Sule N. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.8:1.6).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTT
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.04.25	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3
15.12.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:1
25.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:3
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0
German Bundesliga
29.09.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:3
25.02.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:1
02.09.22	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0

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