Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Borussia Dortmund		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.4
	2.85	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.86	3.57	2.5
	2.86	3.57	2.51
	2.75	3.6	2.3
	2.92	3.7	2.57
	2.83	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.62)	2.46 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
33.8%

Draw
27.1%

Newcastle United
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.7%	32%	29.3%

Borussia Dortmund - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 29 - 38.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 22 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 27.7% – 49.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (C) 25. Sule N. 15. Hummels M. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 6. Ozcan S. 27. Adeyemi K. 8. Nmecha F. 19. Brandt J. 14. Fullkrug N.	22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 5. Schar F. 20. Hall L. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 28. Willock J. 21. Livramento V. 9. Wilson C. 7. Joelinton
Substitutes
5. Bensebaini R. 42. Blank H. 43. Bynoe-Gittens J. 9. Haller S. 35. Lotka M. (G) 21. Malen D. 33. Meyer A. (G) 18. Moukoko Y. 11. Reus M. 7. Reyna G. 17. Wolf M.	24. Almiron M. 34. De Bolle L. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 3. Dummett P. 10. Gordon A. 18. Karius L. (G) 67. Miley L. 63. Parkinson B.
Coaches
Terzic E.	Howe E.

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Borussia D: Duranville J. (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Inactive) Morey M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Newcastle: Anderson E. (Back Injury) Barnes H. (Ankle Injury) Botman S. (Knee Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Manquillo J. (Groin Injury) Miley L. (Illness) Murphy J. (Shoulder Injury) Tonali S. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Thigh Injury) Can E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Burn D. (Back Injury) Targett M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
04.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Newcastle United - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.10.23	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
04.11.23	Newcastle United - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
01.11.23	Manchester United - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
28.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Newcastle United - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.10.23	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.10.23	Newcastle United - Borussia Dortmund	0:1

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