The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo RJ 41.5%
Draw 30%
Fluminense 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.1%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
30%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Botafogo RJ - Fluminense Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Warleson (G) 2. Vitinho 34. Justino G. 5. Ferraresi N. 13. Alex Telles (C) 6. Medina C. 8. Danilo Santos 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 10. Montoro A. 59. Kauan Toledo 19. Arthur Cabral
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 4. Ignacio 44. Jemmes 6. Rene 94. Otavio 16. Nonato 30. Soteldo Y. 10. PH Ganso 90. Serna K. 19. Castillo R.
Substitutes
91. Andrade D. 14. Barrera J. 37. Barria K. 9. Danilo Pereira 88. Edenilson 12. Gabriel Batista (G) 79. Jales do Nascimento L. E. 21. Marcal 11. Matheus Martins 33. Monzon L. 29. Paulinho 4. Ponte M.
32. Acosta L. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 23. Guga 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 7. Hulk 21. Igor Rabello 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 8. Martinelli 28. Riquelme Felipe 11. Savarino J.
Coaches
Carvalho F.
Zubeldia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Alex Telles ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Ignacio 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Ignacio ⚽, Serna K. (A),
59', Kauan Toledo ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
59', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
68', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
70', Serna K. ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
70', PH Ganso ↓, Hercules ↑,
70', Alex Telles ↓, Paulinho ↑,
76', Nonato 🟨,
77', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
79', Soteldo Y. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
79', Nonato ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
85', Castillo R. ↓, Hulk ↑,
85', Barrera J. ↓, Jales do Nascimento L. E. ↑,
85', Montoro A. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
90+2', Justino G. 🟨,
90+4', Marcal 🟨,
90+5', Marcal 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Muscle Injury)
Junior Santos
(Foot Injury)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Patrick de Paula
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Knee Injury)
Millan J.
(Thigh Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fluminense: John Kennedy
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Fluminense: 0.68% Botafogo RJ: 0.17%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Fluminense
29
14
9
6
48:36
12
51
13
Botafogo RJ
29
9
8
12
42:47
-5
35
Last Results with these Odds
Fluminense - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Colombia
Ecuador
Portugal
Russia
Serbia
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Warleson (G) 
Ferraresi N. 
Medina C. 
Villalba Jaume L. M. 
Serna K. 
Andrade D. 
Barria K. 
Carvalho F. 
