Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 9, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 5
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
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Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Sooka
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Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Bournemouth		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.10	3.40	3.50
	2.18	3.3	3.45
	2.23	3.4	3.58
	2.26	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.5
	2.2	3.54	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
43.9%

Draw
28.3%

Sunderland
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	31.2%	0%

Bournemouth - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 19th in the Relegation - Championship and 18th in the Relegation - Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bournemouth holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Scott A. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sunderland: Ballard D. (Muscle Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Mundle R. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Milosavljevic V. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sunderland: Isidor W. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bournemouth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
19	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.28% Sunderland: 0.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Bournemouth - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Real Sociedad - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT
- Sunderland AFC
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Torreense - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
28.02.26	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:1
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2
29.04.17	Sunderland - Bournemouth	0:1
05.11.16	Bournemouth - Sunderland	1:2
23.01.16	Sunderland - Bournemouth	1:1
19.09.15	Bournemouth - Sunderland	2:0

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