Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Braga		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6
	1.57	4	6
	1.57	4	5.75
	1.56	3.9	5.8
	1.6	4.08	6.06
	1.6	3.8	5.8
	1.63	4.15	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.99 ↑ (3.88)	5.89 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga
60%

Draw
23.8%

AEK Athens
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

15.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	11.9%	13.9%

Braga - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 75 - 74.3%). AEK will win (votes: 14 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 65.8% – 82.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Braga has a good chance of round of 32 (51%), has a chance of round of 16 (19%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AEK has a chance of round of 32 (48%), has a chance of round of 16 (18%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Braga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AEK is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Braga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
17.10.20	Braga - Nacional	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Tondela - Braga	0:4 ✺
25.09.20	Braga - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Porto - Braga	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Benfica - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLL
- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
18.10.20	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	AEK Athens - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
27.09.20	AEK Athens - Lamia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	St. Gallen - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWW

Upcoming Matches